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Bitcoin’s Valuation Journey: From Stock-to-Flow to DeFi Metrics

Bitcoin’s Valuation Journey: From Stock-to-Flow to DeFi Metrics

Published:
2025-05-20 20:28:09
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The cryptocurrency market has long sought a definitive framework for valuing digital assets like Bitcoin. Early attempts to apply traditional monetary theories, such as MV=PQ, fell short as the market expanded into hundreds of competing networks. Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow model, once hailed for its scarcity-driven price predictions, lost its predictive accuracy after 2021. The rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) shifted focus to TVL-to-market cap ratios, though these metrics also proved inconsistent. As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin’s price stands at 106,657.70 USDT, reflecting the ongoing evolution of valuation methodologies in the crypto space.

The Evolution of Blockchain Valuation Metrics

Crypto’s search for a definitive valuation framework has followed a winding path. Early attempts to apply traditional monetary theory (MV=PQ) to blockchains failed as the market fragmented into hundreds of competing networks.

Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow model once promised scarcity-driven price appreciation, but its predictive power collapsed post-2021. The subsequent DeFi boom shifted focus to TVL-to-market cap ratios, though these too proved imperfect proxies for network value.

Sovereign Wealth Funds Prefer MSTR Over Spot BTC ETFs for Bitcoin Exposure: StanChart

Sovereign wealth funds and state institutions are increasingly turning to MicroStrategy (MSTR) for indirect Bitcoin exposure rather than spot BTC exchange-traded funds, according to Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research. Regulatory filings reveal that MSTR holdings drove the bulk of sovereign Bitcoin accumulation last quarter, even as direct ETF activity stagnated.

The trend underscores growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, with nations exploring diverse avenues to build exposure. While recent headlines highlighted Wisconsin’s $165 million BTC-equivalent ETF exit, the real momentum lies in indirect holdings through corporate vehicles like MicroStrategy.

Could Ruvi AI (RUVI) Be the Missing Puzzle Piece in Bitcoin’s Blockchain Evolution?

Bitcoin continues its market dominance, trading at $105,000 with a 25% surge over the past month. Its position as the leading decentralized currency underscores its global influence, attracting both institutional and retail traders.

Ruvi AI emerges as a groundbreaking fusion of artificial intelligence and blockchain technology. The platform aims to redefine decentralized applications by integrating AI’s adaptive capabilities with blockchain’s Immutable transparency. Targeting multiple industries, Ruvi AI leverages a community-driven ecosystem to deliver scalable solutions.

Equity Capital Markets Surge as Bitcoin Nears $109k, Fueling Crypto Expansion

May has unleashed a wave of activity across crypto markets, with Bitcoin’s rally toward $109,000 catalyzing mergers, public listings, and institutional product launches. VanEck’s Matthew Sigel notes capital formation is accelerating as regulatory tailwinds converge with price momentum.

The launch of VanEck’s Onchain Economy ETF (NODE) coincides with what Sigel describes as ’wide open’ equity markets for crypto ventures. SPACs, IPOs, and M&A activity are proliferating amid favorable conditions—provided bitcoin maintains its current trajectory.

Riot Platforms Upsizes Credit Facility to $200M with Coinbase

Riot Platforms, a prominent Bitcoin miner, has expanded its credit facility with Coinbase Credit from $100 million to $200 million. The company secured the loan using a portion of its Bitcoin holdings as collateral, underscoring the growing role of crypto assets in corporate finance.

The funds will likely fuel strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions of new mining equipment and expanded power capacity. This move highlights the deepening ties between traditional mining operations and cryptocurrency financial services.

Bitcoin mining continues to play a vital role in network security, particularly as institutional adoption accelerates. Riot’s decision to leverage its BTC holdings reflects confidence in both the asset’s value and the maturity of crypto-backed financing structures.

|Square

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